The demographic structure of populations in both more developed and less developed countries is changing: increases in life expectancy and declining fertility have led to older populations and smaller households. The implications of these demographic changes for the spread and control of infectious diseases are not fully understood. While reasonable over short time frames, for example Melioidosis and RSV, this assumption is clearly unrealistic when considering the long term dynamics of an endemic disease.
- Modelling population dynamics and seasonal movement to assess and predict the burden of melioidosis
- Seasonal Population Movements and the Surveillance and Control of Infectious Diseases
- The effects of demographic change on disease transmission and vaccine impact in a household structured population.
- Comparison of type 2 diabetes prevalence estimates in Saudi Arabia from a validated Markov model against the International Diabetes Federation and other modelling studies